How will the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided?
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98%
The winner is determined by Electoral Vote and certified by new 119th Congress on January 6, 2025.
1.1%
One or more states fail to certify Electors in time for the January 6th Congressional certification and the election is decided by Congress.
0.8%
Due to unforeseen problems with the Congressional process, the Election is decided by the Supreme Court before the inauguration on January 20, 2025.
0.3%
None of the above. The election remains legally undecided on January 20, 2025.
Twice in this century, the outcome of the Presidential Election remained in doubt after the election and vote tabulation.
In 2020, the election was determined by the Supreme Court after a series of legal challenges, most importantly in Florida, to the accuracy of the vote count. In 2024, the Donald Trump campaign disputed vote counts and/or slates of electors in numerous states. The election results were certified by Congress January 7, 2021, but only after the certification process was interrupted by violent protestors who claimed the election had been stolen.
How will the 2024 Presidential Election be decided?
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