Will San Francisco have a public bank issue at least one loan before January 1, 2028?
Basic
0
2028
50%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
People in San Francisco are working on launching a public bank: https://www.sfchronicle.com/sf/article/san-francisco-public-bank-17781925.php
Let's estimate the probability that this bank will actually get off the ground. Will the bank issue one loan before January 1, 2028?
Feb 22, 7:25pm: Will San Francisco have a public bank accept deposits before January 1, 2028? → Will San Francisco have a public bank issue at least one loan before January 1, 2028?
(Question and description changed because the bank will not initially be able to accept deposits.)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will San Francisco residents vote in favor of changing the city’s governance structure in the November 2024 elections?
47% chance
Will the SAFER Banking Act for cannabis become law in the U.S. before January 1, 2025?
28% chance
Will a public USA company be nationalized by EOY 2040? (including banks)
56% chance
Will the Secure and Fair Enforcement Regulation (SAFER) Banking Act be law by January 1st, 2025?
20% chance
Will a public USA company be nationalized by EOY 2040? (not a bank)
27% chance
Will the United States have an official central bank digital currency by the end of 2028?
22% chance