Who will be first to AGI | Manifold

Who will be first to AGI

Plus

33

Ṁ1310

2050

27%

OpenAI

12%

Microsoft

7%

Meta

5%

Huggingface/homegrown

25%

Google

13%

US government

5%

China government

1.8%

Russia government

3%

Apple

2%

AGI is impossible

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Does it resolve to AGI is impossible if AGI is possible but not achieved by 2050?

@ProjectVictory Yes

There are a few answers >10% that are missing

What happens if multiple work together?

Would "other" be worthy of being an option?

@Quroe the question is which of these companies will be first out of these companies listed

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-3% 1d55% chance

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