Will "Accidentally Load Bearing" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
Plus
3
Ṁ1716Feb 1
41%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Accidentally Load Bearing is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will "Things I Learned by Spending Five Thousand Ho..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
72% chance
Will "Things I Learned by Spending Five Thousand Ho..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
70% chance
Will "Acausal normalcy" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
35% chance
Will "Assume Bad Faith" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
29% chance
Will "An Extremely Opinionated Annotated List of My..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
38% chance
Will "Assume Bad Faith" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
29% chance
Will "Without fundamental advances, misalignment an..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
46% chance
Will "Failures in Kindness" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
44% chance
Will "Optimistic Assumptions, Longterm Planning, an..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
34% chance
Will "Model, Care, Execution" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
22% chance