Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in a war during the 2nd Trump administration?
Basic
4
Ṁ1692029
18%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if a nuclear bomb is used against an enemy target by any nation at any point between Trump’s inauguration and (hopeful) exit from office. If Trump dies this question will apply to JD Vance’s administration.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated while Biden is President?
14% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before Trump is President again?
14% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2024?
13% chance
Will a nuclear warhead be detonated in 2024?
13% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated during 2024?
12% chance
Will Trump bomb Iran during his second term?
25% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in 2024?
13% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before the end of 2024?
14% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in the Russia-Ukraine war?
15% chance
Will multiple nuclear weapons be detonated during 2024?
9% chance