This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2029
Plus
29
Ṁ70582029
94%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves positively on the 1st of January, 2029. This question is meant to find out whether Manifold users are incentivized to correctly predict on longer-term markets, and, to some extent, what the implied discount rate is. Note that with Manifold's lending functionality, the half-life of the cost to invest here is about a month
Close date updated to 2029-01-01 11:59 pm
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1,000
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