This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2029
➕
Plus
29
Ṁ7058
2029
94%
chance

This market resolves positively on the 1st of January, 2029. This question is meant to find out whether Manifold users are incentivized to correctly predict on longer-term markets, and, to some extent, what the implied discount rate is. Note that with Manifold's lending functionality, the half-life of the cost to invest here is about a month

Close date updated to 2029-01-01 11:59 pm

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Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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predicts YES

@LivInTheLookingGlass please fix the close date? Should be 2029, not 2026.

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