Will US obesity decrease by more than 1% before 2030?
Basic
13
Ṁ15612030
83%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Get
1,000
and1.00
Sort by:
@StephenBuggy Not yet; I of course don't really trust the CDC, but I don't know who to use instead. Right now I'm in an epistemic state where I'm open to suggestions.
Of course I'll just default to government data [ CDC or otherwise ] if I don't find anyone obviously better before market close.
And if a market participant thinks my preferred source's data was non-representative, I will hear out their arguments and reconsider.
Related questions
Related questions
Will US unemployment be 10% or more before 2030?
24% chance
Will the US obesity rate stop rising by 2024?
20% chance
Will the average weight of Americans decrease between 2024 and 2025
44% chance
Will GLP-1 agonists help stop or reverse the US obesity trend by end of 2027
75% chance
More than half of humans will be overweight or obese by end of 2035?
30% chance
More than 10% of US citizens will be on prescription drugs for weight loss by 2031
61% chance
Will U.S. meat consumption decline by 20%+ by 2040?
46% chance
Will the US have fewer than 1000 cancer deaths in 2050?
24% chance
Will less than 30% of US adults be obese by EOY 2030?
22% chance
Will US obesity be half or less of the current rate in 2050?
62% chance