Will US obesity decrease by more than 1% before 2030?
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as in the prevalence of obesity in 2030 is more than one percentage point lower than it is today?

@Lorec do you have an agreed source you'll use for comparison?

@StephenBuggy Not yet; I of course don't really trust the CDC, but I don't know who to use instead. Right now I'm in an epistemic state where I'm open to suggestions.

Of course I'll just default to government data [ CDC or otherwise ] if I don't find anyone obviously better before market close.

And if a market participant thinks my preferred source's data was non-representative, I will hear out their arguments and reconsider.

@Lorec Was this in response to the CDC report claiming this already happened?