German Bundestag election 2025 requires partial repetition in at least one district by August 1st 2025
5
100Ṁ89Aug 1
22%
chance
1D
1W
1M
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Based on the 2021 precedent where elections had to be repeated in 455 Berlin districts due to irregularities, this market predicts whether any districts will require a repeat election following the February 23, 2025 Bundestag election.
Resolution criteria: Market resolves YES if the Federal Constitutional Court or Federal Returning Officer officially orders a repeat election in any district by August 1st 2025. Resolves NO if no repeat elections are ordered by this date.
Sources:
Federal Constitutional Court: https://www.bundesverfassungsgericht.de/
Federal Returning Officer: https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/bundestagswahlen/2025.html
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