Will Oregon meet its housing production goal and how many units will be produced by the end of 2024?
➕
Plus
15
Ṁ171
Jan 1
5%
Yes; > 40,000
6%
Yes; 36,000 - 39,999
6%
No; 32,000 - 35,999
11%
No; 28,000 - 31,999
7%
No; 24,000 - 27,999
7%
No; 20,000 - 23,999
16%
No; 16,000 - 19,999
31%
No; 12,000 - 15,999
5%
No; 8,000 - 11,999
5%
No; < 8,000

Background

In 2023, Governor Tina Kotek enacted Executive Order 23-04. The EO initiated a significant policy shift that aims to increase the state's housing production to 36,000 units annually for the next decade, an 80% increase from the preceding years' average production of 20,000 units.

Oregon Housing Production (2018-2023)

2023 - TBD

2022 - 13,792

2021 - 14,943

2020 - 15,944

2019 - 13,978

2018 - 14,717


Market Resolution

This is a prediction market. Market will close at the end of the year (31 Dec 2024)

The market will resolve to one option depending on:

  • If Oregon met its annual production goal of 36,000 housing units

  • How many units were actually produced

Oregon cities must submit annual housing production reports for the previous calendar year to the Department of Land Conservation and Development by 1 Feb the following year. Market will resolve based on these reports.


Disclaimer

I do not bet in markets I create to avoid motivated reasoning. In the event that I am unable or unavailable to resolve the market, the market may be resolved by Manifold Mods. Any changes to the market description will be noted in the change log.

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