During the year 2027, will China implement a pandemic lockdown in a Tier 1 city comparable to 2022's lockdown?
Plus
11
Ṁ3342028
8%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question resolves to yes if there's a zero covid policy lockdown in a major Chinese city that is comparable to Shanghai's 2022 lockdown due to pandemic.
Although it'll require judgement, a comparable one would have a complete ban in going out of home, major industries (semiconductor, electrical vehicles, smartphones...) closing, vídeos of police officers arresting people who ty to leave home, travel bans.
The question nonetheless resolves to yes if they lockdown due to other disease.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
https://www.wsj.com/articles/chinas-xi-jinping-plans-to-meet-with-biden-in-first-foreign-trip-in-nearly-three-years-11660318437?mod=hp_lead_pos11
"Some Chinese officials and foreign policy experts say Mr. Xi’s first international trip could signal the beginning of a relaxation of China’s pandemic controls to allow the resumption of business trips across international borders at a time when the country’s economic growth is slowing."
Related questions
Related questions
Will China have COVID lockdowns before 2026?
13% chance
Will there be major global lockdowns before 2031?
31% chance
Will there be any lockdowns covering > 30% of the US before 2035? (they can be bio or AI or terrorism related)
55% chance
Will a global pandemic of a novel infectious disease, similar to COVID-19, occur by 2030?
33% chance
Will there be a pandemic at least as deadly as COVID-19 by March 1st 2044?
59% chance
Will at least one EU country reintroduce COVID-19 lockdowns between the posting of this question and the end of 2024?
13% chance
Will the USA reintroduce COVID-19 lockdowns between the posting of this question and the end of 2024?
5% chance
Will there be any more lockdowns due to COVID-19 in the US before 2025?
3% chance