Will 2 more parties claim to have achieved net gains in fusion energy by 2026?
Plus
27
Ṁ4882026
75%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Scientists at the US Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory claim to have achieved a net gain in their fusion energy endeavors, having put in 2.05MJ and having gotten 3.15MJ.
If two more entities make similar claims by 2026 and are reported by the specialized media as credible, this market will solve to YES.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will a private company demonstrate nuclear fusion net gain (>1.0 energy out vs energy in) before 12/31/2025?
16% chance
Will Commonwealth Fusion Systems (CFS) will demonstrate net energy gain (Q>1) in their SPARC reactor before 12/31/2025?
13% chance
Who will be the leader in Fusion energy production by 2040?
Will we get fusion reactors before 2031?
32% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2032?
32% chance
Will fusion provide >2% of US electrical power before 2050?
19% chance
Bets on fusion: which ones will be true by 2037?
Will humanity produce it’s first in lab net positive fusion energy breakthrough by end 2028 ?
39% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2036?
46% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2038?
50% chance