Will a private company demonstrate nuclear fusion net gain (>1.0 energy out vs energy in) before 12/31/2025?
Basic
85
Ṁ9.2k2026
24%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Sort by:
@Daniel_MC Great clarifying question. The energy that goes into the plasma is what I am looking at. This is likely way simpler to calculate and communicate.
Related questions
Will fusion power be commercially available by 2035?
24% chance
Will anyone deliver 1MW of fusion-generated net electricity to anyone before 2100?
75% chance
Will nuclear fusion become a viable energy source before 2050?
64% chance
Will 2 more parties claim to have achieved net gains in fusion energy by 2026?
75% chance
Will a nuclear fusion reaction be maintained continuously for >24hrs before the end of 2030?
41% chance
Will Commonwealth Fusion Systems (CFS) will demonstrate net energy gain (Q>1) in their SPARC reactor before 12/31/2025?
16% chance
Will any fusion reactor project demonstrate engineering breakeven before the end of 2040?
70% chance
Will we have a functioning, energy-producing, nuclear fusion reactor by 2033?
33% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2031?
28% chance
Will humanity produce it’s first in lab net positive fusion energy breakthrough by end 2028 ?
39% chance