Will Venezuela invade Brazil by 2024 year end?
Standard
18
Ṁ3268Jan 1
2%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
There are no roads between Guyana and Venezuela. Their border is either very dense Amazon rainforest or mountains.
There is speculation in the Brazilian media that Venezuela would need to go through Brazilian territory to pursue their military endeavors inside Guyana's Essequibo.
If the Brazilian government or the Brazilian media calls that Venezuela has done a big invasion of Brazil (not just a single plane or a lost battalion), this market resolves to YES.
I may bet.
Get
1,000
and1.00
Related questions
Related questions
Conditional on a Venezuela-Guyana conflict by 2024, which countries are going to militarily intervene by 2024 year end?
Will Venezuela leave BRICS in 2024?
33% chance
Will Venezuela invade Guyana before EOY 2024?
7% chance
Will there be a civil war in Venezuela before 2050?
52% chance
Will Brazil publicly support Venezuela's claims over Guyana's Essequibo territory by 2024 year end?
6% chance
Will Maduro invade Guiana by the end of 2024?
13% chance
Will there be a civil war in Venezuela in 2024?
9% chance
Will Guyana and Venezuela have a military conflict by the end of 2024? [Ṁ1,000 subsidy]
5% chance
[Metaculus] If Venezuela invades Guyana before 2030, will the United States respond with military forces?
61% chance
Will the Brazilian military engage the Venezuelan military leading to casualties by EOY 2024?
8% chance