Will a romantic relationship with an AI chatbot comprise 25% of all relationships within the USA before the year 2030?
24
1kแน13922030
12%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Based on this article from June 2023 :
https://nypost.com/2023/06/03/bronx-mom-uses-ai-app-replika-to-build-virtual-husband/amp/
Will resolve as "Yes" when official statistics, by reputable institutions such as the Pew Research Center, report that more than 25% of all relationships within the USA are with an AI chatbot. Else it will resolve "No".
It will also count as "Yes" if more than 25% of the US population is reported to prefer an AI partner to a human one.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will there be an AI Companion app (friend, girlfriend, partner etc.) with 500 Million users before 2035? ๐คโค๐งโโ๏ธ๐ค๐ป
64% chance
In 2028, will at least 35m Americans be talking at least weekly to an AI they consider a romantic companion?
9% chance
In 2028, will at least 350,000 Americans (1/1000) be talking at least weekly to an AI they consider a romantic companion?
74% chance
In 2028, will at least 3.5m Americans be talking at least weekly to an AI they consider a romantic companion?
23% chance
What % of Americans will develop serious emotional relationships with AI by year-end 2025?
Who will publicly say they have/had an AI bot as romantic and/or sexual partner before 2030?
What will be the male/female split of the most popular AI girlfriend/boyfriend app in 2035?
Will AI "love bots/virtual girlfriends" be good enough to reduce the % of "unwarranted male attention" by 50% by 2027?
29% chance
Will AI girlfriends overtake real girlfriends before 2035?
13% chance
Will a OpenAI, Anthropic, Google or Meta release an AI chatbot that has ads in the responses in 2025?
32% chance