Will Aleph Alpha fold by 2028
Basic
1
Ṁ102028
45%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If Aleph Alpha shuts down as an organisation, goes bankrupt, gets sold for a price (rumoured or confirmed) that is much lower (half or less) than the most recent valuation, then this will resolve “Yes”. Basically the intent of the question is whether the company/org “failed” at finding a sustainable business model and sustained growth consistent with a $1B+ outcome for investors and founders.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the Alphafold 2 paper reach 30,000 citations in 2024?
99% chance
Will Alphafold 4 be announced in 2025?
69% chance
Will Stability AI fold by 2028?
82% chance
Will Humane AI be sold or fold in 2024?
8% chance
Will Alphafold 4 be announced in 2024?
8% chance
Will a drug designed with significant contribution from an AlphaFold-like system pass a Phase I trial by end of 2025?
33% chance
Will Stability AI go bankrupt in 2024?
14% chance
Will OpenAI's undergo significant restructuring by 2025?
15% chance
Will OpenAI disappear before 2034?
34% chance
Will Drew DeVault's SourceHut complete alpha and start beta before or at EOY 2024?
74% chance