Will Apollo Research (new AI evals org) shut down before 2028?
11
1kṀ2932027
25%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will OpenAI be acquired by another company the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will OpenAI dissolve by July 2025?
1% chance
Will an AI system be known to have resisted shutdown before the end of 2025?
19% chance
Will an AI system be known to have resisted shutdown before the end of 2026?
27% chance
Will xAI stop working on AI research by 2029?
28% chance
Will OpenAI be dissolved at any point by end of 2025
3% chance
Will OpenAI fold in 2025?
3% chance
Will OpenAI disappear before 2034?
33% chance
Will the for-profit arm of OpenAI be shut down or otherwise separated from the non-profit arm before 01/01/2026?
38% chance
will DeepSeek become a closed AI lab by EOY?
37% chance