Below are some examples (but by no means exhaustive) that would qualify as collapse:
No withdrawals for 14 days
BNB market cap below $1B (unless it is phased out as planned by the company) for >14 days
Files for bankruptcy
As part of its plea settlement, Binance had agreed to pay $4.3 billion in fines — real money, not tethers — to US regulatory agencies. The first installment of $898,618,825 is due on March 25 — that’s 30 days after the court approved their guilty plea. $1,612,031,763 is due within six months, and the final $1,805,475,575 is due within 15 months. [Sentencing memo, PDF; Bloomberg, archive]
Well, if you read this essay you would expect that something should break:
https://www.bitsaboutmoney.com/archive/bond-villain-compliance-strategy/
@uair01 Binance’s Chief Compliance Officer Samuel Lim:
“[We are] operating as a fking unlicensed security exchange in the U.S. bro.”
@jack Binance.us is not Binance, it's a separate company/exchange/etc.
Unless you believe Binance.us and Binance are working illegally in tandem as they are often accused and extrapolate that Binance is therefore at risk of collapse because Binance.us is, the struggles of binance.us should have no significant effect on Binance as a whole.