Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by the end of 2024?
Basic
5
Ṁ131Jan 1
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If Iran halts or severely restricts international maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official governmental information, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by the end of 2025?
39% chance
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by the end of 2026?
56% chance
Will any major Iranian oil refinery be taken out by December 20 2024?
46% chance
Will Iran use Iraq to stage an attack on Israel before the end of 2024?
41% chance
Will there be a war between Iran and Israel by the end of 2024
12% chance
Will Iran conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2024?
2% chance
Will Israel strike at Iran’s nuclear facilities in Natanz by the end of 2024.
12% chance
Will a crossing of the Strait of Hormuz, between Iran and Oman or UAE, have started construction by 2040?
26% chance
Will an Iranian naval asset be sunk by hostile action in 2024?
41% chance
Will Iran declare that they are a nuclear power by the end of 2024?
7% chance