Will the Musk Foundation fund a major EA project by 2031?
18
1kṀ6802031
49%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
"EA" project as per public self-idenfication or my judgement. Major as per my judgement, roughly a >20 people organisation is something I'd call major.
http://www.muskfoundation.org/
Dec 10, 8:03pm: Will the Musk Foundation fund a major EA project ny 2030? → Will the Musk Foundation fund a major EA project by 2031?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will space governance / space colonization get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
13% chance
Will there be an EA organisation that donates >$1M/yr using a democratized mechanism before 2025?
30% chance
Will there be an EA organisation that donates >$10M/yr using a democratized mechanism before 2025?
14% chance
will Elon Musk/The Foundation have a university in Austin, Texas by the end of 2025?
20% chance
Will Elon Musk found another billion dollar company by 2030?
48% chance
Will the Elon Musk-led group successfully gain control of OpenAI by EOY 2025
6% chance
Will interventions motivated by aliens, simulation arguments, acausal trade, etc, get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
15% chance
Will research into digital sentience / the fundamental nature of consciousness get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
67% chance
Will mass-movement political activism for AI regulation (such as "PauseAI") get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
71% chance
Will human intelligence augmentation / embryo selection get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
52% chance