![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstorage.googleapis.com%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fcontract-images%2FMarnixVreugdenhil%2F0e2bfe09d05c.jpg&w=3840&q=75)
How quickly will the Dutch PVV - VVD - NSC - BBB coalition (Schoof I) fall?
Basic
15
Ṁ4.2k2028
1D
1W
1M
ALL
53%
Within 1 year
98.8%
Within 2 years
98.8%
Within 3 years
4%
It will complete the 4-year term
40%
Within 6 months
8%
Within 3 months
All options will be counted as from the moment of formation of the government (specifically the 'bordesfoto') up until the moment that the prime minister offers his resignation to the king.
Update: starting date is July 2nd 2024
Get Ṁ600 play money
More related questions
Related questions
Will the Dutch cabinet fall in 2024?
36% chance
Will the Dutch cabinet fall in 2025?
66% chance
Will the Dutch cabinet fall in 2026?
34% chance
Will the Dutch cabinet fall in 2027?
21% chance
Which parties will gain seats in the next Dutch General Election?
Will the N-VA be part of any Belgian federal government before the end of March 2025?
60% chance
Will the next governing coalition of the Netherlands dissolve before its term is over if the PVV is part of it?
91% chance
Which of these parties will be the first to suffer "zetelroof" in the House after the Dutch 2023 general election?
Will The Dutch Tweede Kamer (Dutch parliment) form a governing coalition before July 1st 2024?
2% chance
Following the 2023 Dutch General Elections, will the new governing coalition consist of at least 3 parties?
99% chance