How quickly will the Dutch PVV - VVD - NSC - BBB coalition (Schoof I) fall?
Plus
33
Ṁ83272028
51%
Within 1 year
91%
Within 2 years
93%
Within 3 years
11%
It will complete the 4-year term
6%
Within 6 months
Resolved
NOWithin 3 months
All options will be counted as from the moment of formation of the government (specifically the 'bordesfoto') up until the moment that the prime minister offers his resignation to the king.
Update: starting date is July 2nd 2024
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Aha, gotcha thank you. I'd forgotten about the demissionary period. It's just that I find it slightly odd to say that the coalition "fell" if it lasts until the next election and then gets defeated. This is kinda different than "falling" in the sense that, say, NSC withdraws from the coalition and it thus loses the confidence of the current Kamer.
Also, what happens if the coalition falls afterJuly 3, 2027 but before July 1, 2028? It won't have fallen within 3 years, and it won't have lasted 4 years either.
Related questions
Related questions
Will the Dutch cabinet fall in 2024?
29% chance
Will the Dutch cabinet fall in 2026?
24% chance
Will the Dutch cabinet fall in 2025?
64% chance
Which parties will gain seats in the next Dutch General Election?
Will the Dutch cabinet fall in 2027?
21% chance
Will the N-VA be part of any Belgian federal government before the end of March 2025?
60% chance
Will the next governing coalition of the Netherlands dissolve before its term is over if the PVV is part of it?
91% chance