A US federal judge will be impeached by end of 2025
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15
แน€2446
2025
17%
chance

Background information: https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/analysis-opinion/impeachment-and-removal-judges-explainer

Applies to any federal judge, including district, appeal, or supreme. Resolves YES on vote to impeach in the house, not conviction. Resolves NO at end of 2025.

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Based on https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_impeachment_investigations_of_United_States_federal_judges, the average rate seems to be about 0.3 impeachments per year. Assuming a Poisson distribution would put the odds at about 86%. Intuitively, that seems unreasonable.

@UnconditionalProbability ... It was unreasonable since that is a list of investigations, not impeachments.

A US federal judge will be impeached by end of 2025, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

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