Will the Doomsday Clock be 60s (or less) to midnight by end of January 2026 | Manifold

Will the Doomsday Clock be 60s (or less) to midnight by end of January 2026

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Resolves "Yes" if the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists' Doomsday Clock at https://thebulletin.org/doomsday-clock/ is set to 60s to midnight or less by the end of January 2026.

Will the doomsday clock advance towards midnight?

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They can't think the world is getting worse and worse forever. Some day the current era of pessimism will end. I suspect once the Ukraine war is over they will put the clock back a little.

@justifieduseofFallibilism Will the Doomsday Clock reach 40 seconds by 2027?

bought Ṁ10 NO from 22% to 21%

predicts NO

@NickAllenc961 what do you mean?

@justifieduseofFallibilism If the Doomsday Clock were to reach a minute to midnight by 2026, the clock would be 40 seconds to midnight by 2027?

bought Ṁ10 NO at 21%

@justifieduseofFallibilism Will the Doomsday Clock reach 50 seconds to midnight by 2027?

bought Ṁ12 NO at 22%

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-34% 1d22% chance

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What will be the reason cited the next time the doomsday clock moves closer to midnight?

Related questions

Will the Doomsday Clock advance toward midnight in/by January 2025?

Will the Doomsday clock remain unchanged this year?

Will the Doomsday Clock reach 30 seconds to midnight by 2029?

Will the Doomsday Clock reach 50 seconds to midnight by 2027?

Will the Doomsday Clock reach 40 seconds to midnight by 2028?

Will the Doomsday Clock reach 20 seconds to midnight by 2030?

What will be the reason cited the next time the doomsday clock moves closer to midnight?

Will the Doomsday Clock reach 15 minutes or more to midnight before 2050?

Will the Doomsday Clock reach 10 minutes or more to midnight before 2040?

What will be the reason cited the next time the doomsday clock moves closer to midnight?

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