Will Taylor Swift release a new song by December 31, 2024 that references recent political events?
18
Ṁ1275
2026
17%
chance

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https://www.reddit.com/r/MarkMyWords/comments/1fjjdz5/mmw_taylor_swift_will_drop_a_new_song/

Resolution Criteria:

  1. The market will resolve as "Yes" if:

    • Taylor Swift releases a new song by December 31, 2024

    • The song's lyrics contain clear references to at least two of the following:
      a) A recent article written about her
      b) Elon Musk's tweet regarding her political endorsement
      c) Donald Trump's tweet expressing dislike for her

  2. The market will resolve as "No" if:

    • Taylor Swift does not release a new song by December 31, 2024

    • Swift releases a new song, but it does not contain clear references to at least two of the specified events

  3. Resolution will be based on:

    • Official releases on Taylor Swift's music platforms

    • Lyrics analysis by reputable music publications

    • Statements from Swift or her representatives confirming the song's content

  4. The market will resolve as "Invalid" if:

    • Swift releases a song that is ambiguous in its references, requiring official clarification that is not provided by the resolution date

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