Will the SEC charge Donald Trump with stock manipulation related to DJT (Trump Media & Technology Group) by Dec. 2025?
9
Ṁ721
2026
40%
chance

꧁∙·▫ₒₒ▫ᵒᴼᵒ▫ₒₒ▫꧁ MarkMyWords Series ꧂▫ₒₒ▫ᵒᴼᵒ▫ₒₒ▫·∙꧂

The Mark My Words series takes actionable and popular posts from the Mark My Words subreddit and turns them into a prediction market. Hope you enjoy the format!

https://www.reddit.com/r/MarkMyWords/comments/1cjohvf/mmw_trump_will_be_charged_with_manipulation_of/

Resolution Criteria:

  1. The market will resolve as "Yes" if:

    • The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) formally charges Donald Trump with stock manipulation or related securities fraud specifically involving Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) or its stock (DJT) before or on December 31, 2025.

  2. The market will resolve as "No" if:

    • The SEC does not file such charges against Donald Trump by December 31, 2025.

  3. The market will resolve as "Invalid" if:

    • The SEC initiates an investigation into Trump's involvement with DJT stock but does not conclude it by the resolution date.

    • Trump Media & Technology Group ceases to exist as a public company before the resolution date.

Resolution Sources:

  • Official SEC press releases and court filings

  • Public statements from SEC officials

  • Reports from major, reputable news organizations (e.g., Reuters, Associated Press, Wall Street Journal)

Closing Date:
This market will close for trading on December 31, 2025, or when the SEC formally files charges meeting the criteria, whichever comes first.Additional Notes:

  • Charges must specifically relate to stock manipulation or securities fraud involving TMTG/DJT

  • Other SEC charges against Trump not related to TMTG/DJT do not qualify for a "Yes" resolution

  • The outcome of any potential charges is not relevant to this market's resolution

Get Ṁ1,000 play money