Will Donald Trump be impeached during his second term? | Manifold

Will Donald Trump be impeached during his second term?

230

10kṀ54k

2029

56%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Question resolves based on him being officially impeached by the House (as he was twice during his first term); conviction by the Senate does not affect this question one way or the other.

Resolves N/A in the (now quite unlikely) event that he does not win.

Republican Party

2024 US Presidential Election

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A similar market is here:

bought Ṁ100 NO

No: this would be a completely stupid and counterproductive thing to do (and of course assumes the dems retake the house in 2026).

Yes: the dems never learn from their mistakes.

@traders just upgraded to Premium!

opened a Ṁ990 YES at 33% order

@MattP getting a decent amount of action - I think the trader pool will probably be a decent enough source of liquidity at this point. Pulling down to M5000 subsidy (halfway between Plus and Premium).

/mattyb/will-the-house-of-representatives-b

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Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his second term?

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If Trump is re-elected will he face a third impeachment in the first 6 months of his presidency?

Will Donald Trump resign as US President during his second term?

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Will there be a coup attempt against Donald Trump during his second term?

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Related questions

Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his second term?

Will Donald Trump be impeached and removed during his second term?

If Donald Trump is re-elected, how many times will he be impeached during his second term?

If Trump is re-elected will he face a third impeachment in the first 6 months of his presidency?

Will Donald Trump resign as US President during his second term?

If Donald Trump is impeached again in his second term, will it stick?

Will Donald Trump get impeached again in his lifetime?

If Donald Trump is impeached in his second term, what will he be charged with?

Will there be a coup attempt against Donald Trump during his second term?

Will Trump finish his second term?

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