Will OpenAI demo a desktop or browser assistant that automates white-collar tasks before 2026?
Plus
38
Ṁ13712026
80%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution Criteria:
If all of the following criteria are met, this question resolves to YES. Otherwise it resolves to NO.
1. Showcase Event: OpenAI must publicly showcase an AI assistant between January 1st, 2024, and January 1st, 2026. The AI assistant must demonstrate the ability to control a virtual desktop or browser environment.
2. Task Performance: The AI assistant must perform a series of routine white-collar job tasks which are specified in advance and observable by the public during the showcase. The tasks must be completed with minimal human correction, defined as less than 15% of tasks requiring human intervention in the task completion process, across tasks shown in the demo.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI by 2025 end?
33% chance
Will AI be able to generate an interactive web front-end by the end of 2024?
19% chance
Will AI automate GUIs by end of 2024?
64% chance
Will OpenAI be in the lead in the AGI race end of 2026?
43% chance
Will OpenAI release a cross-platform web browser by the end of 2026?
49% chance
Will OpenAI make a product that allows for direct control of your computer before 2025?
22% chance
Will we develop Leopold's 'drop-in remote AI workers' by end of 2027?
63% chance
Will OpenAI release an official android asisstant app before 2024 ends?
50% chance
Will OpenAI release an AI product with a cool name by Jan 1, 2025?
25% chance
Will over 50% of households in any developed country use an AI assistant for daily decision-making by the end of 2030?
45% chance