Dune Messiah (or "Part Three") Prop Bets

Plus

Ṁ8499

2031

97%

Music composed by Hans Zimmer

96%

One or more characters who died in the first two films are cloned/appear in the film as clones (or gholas)

96%

Paul Atreides sits on a throne

95%

”Messiah” is in the movie title

93%

Rated PG-13

92%

Denis Villeneuve credited as Producer, Director, and Writer

87%

Guild Navigator shown (not fully obscured by suit or tank)

84%

3 or more sand worms are on screen simultaneously

83%

IMDB rating over 8.1 one week after release

81%

Released in 2026

74%

At least one birth depicted on screen

68%

Runtime over 2h 45m

63%

Mentat does an eye-flick calculation

58%

Thinking machines directly referenced ("artificial intelligence", "machine in the likeness of a human mind", etc. counts as yes)

54%

At least three characters who died in the first two movies are depicted on-screen (can be flashback, spice dream, etc)

53%

5 or more sand worms are on screen simultaneously

41%

A named character will be cast as a different gender to their book gender (other than ones who appeared in previous movies eg Liet Kynes)

24%

An actor for a named character is replaced by a different actor

24%

Runtime under 2h 30m

16%

Alia depicted on-screen as a toddler (not infant and obviously <6yo)

Propose bets on the third Dune movie! Must be a sequel to Dune: Part Two. I will default to using IMDB (and failing that, Wikipedia) to resolve questions, when possible. If no such movie is announced/released before 2031, all relevant markets resolve to N/A. (Example: If it's announced and then canceled, markets about how it'll be announced still resolve, but markets about things like runtime would not.)

Markets with spoilers are allowed but please phrase them without spoilers if possible. I reserve the right to resolve markets as N/A if I feel like they're off topic, poorly worded, or just bad according to me.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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