Will Polymarket fairly resolve all US 2024 presidential election markets up through inauguration?
4
Ṁ10kJan 16
94%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution source: me.
Polymarket is partially funded by Peter Thiel who has strong opinions in opposition to democracy and in support of Trump.
Historically Polymarket partially resolved one market contrary to logic by bailing out the side that lost, presumably due to Thiel's intervention. Will they do it again?
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
When will Polymarket's main US Presidential election market cross $1B in betting handle?
Will the largest manifold market covering the US presidential election correctly predict the outcome of the election?
67% chance
Will Trump Win 2024 Election AND [Major Market] Resolve YES?
What 2024 markets will resolve in the same direction as Trump winning the election? [Free Response Correlation Market]
Will Manifold's 2024 general election predictions outperform Polymarket's?
45% chance
When will Polymarket have Joe Biden as >90% to finish his term?
Will Manifold have a real-money market on the outcome of the 2024 US presidential election?
6% chance
Will Polymarket have $1 billion or more bet on “Presidential Election Winner 2024” before it resolves?
98% chance
Will Trump drop to 45% odds on Polymarket by October 15? (President Election)
53% chance
Will real money political prediction markets be legal in the US before the end of 2025?
70% chance