Who will be First Minister of Scotland on July 1st 2026?
Mini
6
Ṁ2.3k2026
1D
1W
1M
ALL
74%
John Swinney
3%
Kate Forbes
16%
Anas Sarwar
6%
Douglas Ross
0.2%
Alex Cole-Hamilton
0.2%
Angus Robertson
0.5%
Note there is a Scottish Parliament election scheduled for 7 May 2026.
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Will Humza Yousaf be First Minister of Scotland at the end of 2024?
2% chance
Will there be a Scottish Parliament election by the end of 2025?
27% chance
Will Humza Yousaf be First Minister of Scotland at the end of 2025?
2% chance
Will Scotland choose to leave the UK before 2040?
48% chance
Will the First Minister of Wales, Vaughan Gething MS, still be First Minister by the end of 2024
55% chance
Will there be another Scottish Independence referendum by 2026?
10% chance
Will independence supporting parties maintain a majority in the next Scottish Parliament Election?
39% chance
Will there be a Scottish independence referendum (indyref2) by 2030?
22% chance