Will a substantial cyberattack (disrupting critical infrastructure) occur in the U.S. between July 21 and Dec 31, 2024
Plus
6
Ṁ595Jan 1
34%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will a substantial cyberattack (disrupting critical infrastructure) occur in the United States between July 21, 2024 and December 31, 2024?
Authoritative Source: Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA)
Last Occurrence: Colonial Pipeline cyberattack, May 2021
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a cyber or physical attack on a US power plant between March 2024 -> November 2024?
20% chance
Will there be a cybersecurity event affecting US infrastructure and dealing more than $20 million in damage by 2025
50% chance
Will a cyber attack by a top 10 GDP nation exposing mass private civilian data occur before 2028?
62% chance
Will it be revealed that Chinese hackers have critically effected any US infrastructure?
35% chance
[Metaculus] Will a major cyberattack/malware use LLMs in some important way before January 1st, 2025? [Ṁ1000 subsidy]
13% chance
Will any computer virus powered by AI cause large damages to digital infrastructure by 2027?
28% chance
Will there be any lockdowns covering > 30% of the US before 2035? (they can be bio or AI or terrorism related)
55% chance
Will an AI datacenter in the US be sabotaged before 2029?
46% chance
Will a data centre hosting AI be physically attacked before December 31, 2029?
25% chance
[Metaculus] Will China carry out a cyberattack on Taiwan’s electricity infrastructure before 2030?
50% chance