What % of respondents to this question will believe "UFOs are alien spacecraft" on January 1, 2030?
Basic
5
Ṁ1812030
44
expected
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@MikeElias Is this a self-resolving market? Does it resolve by some other mechanism, and if so what? Can it resolve now either way?
If it is self-resolving, I'd recommend you consider other options in the future, these tend not to do what you want: https://manifold.markets/post/selfresolving-markets-why-they-dont
Related questions
Related questions
By 2025, over 50% of Americans will believe that the UFO/UAP sightings by the military are aliens?
30% chance
By 2025, over 60% of Americans will believe that the UFO/UAP sightings by the military are aliens?
14% chance
Will the US Government make a show of declassifying everything on UFOs / UAPs before 2030
35% chance
What percentage of alien civilisations will broadcast their existence into space?
42% chance
Will evidence of an extraterrestrial civilization be discovered by the year 2100?
41% chance
Will UFOs be a partisan issue by 2025?
8% chance
Will evidence of an extraterrestrial civilization be discovered by the year 2050?
20% chance
Will UFOs be recognized as a culture-bound illness/mass hysteria before 2050?
37% chance
Will strong evidence of aliens be discovered before 2030?
11% chance
Will the > 1/3 of US adults believe we are living in a computer simulation by 2040?
15% chance