Will there be any one transmission line outage that causes over one million Americans to not have electricity in 2024?
Basic
3
Ṁ32Jan 1
72%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Outage must occur for over 8 hours. One million customers must be put out of service due to a transmission-related problem (generation issues do not count). United States only.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will any state have more than 300,000 customers without power before the end of 2024?
39% chance
Will the US experience a power grid failure before 2026?
35% chance
Will AWS have a major outage in 2024?
42% chance
Will there be a cyber or physical attack on a US power plant between March 2024 -> November 2024?
14% chance
Will any major US city have a blackout of at least a day before 2025?
83% chance
Will a major social media company experience an outage of 24 hours or more before 2025?
28% chance
Will a substantial cyberattack (disrupting critical infrastructure) occur in the U.S. between July 21 and Dec 31, 2024
34% chance
Major internet outage due to undersea cables breaking by end of 2026?
72% chance
Will X (Twitter) Suffer a Major Outage in 2024?
15% chance
Will the entire country of Russia be disconnected from the rest of the internet for at least one hour during 2024?
10% chance