Google is currently in the lead with two models at around 1370 ELO.
https://lmarena.ai/?leaderboard

But OpenAI just announced "o3" model that some are calling AGI.

https://deepnewz.com/ai-modeling/openai-unveils-o3-o3-mini-models-exceeding-human-performance-on-arc-agi-4f05e4f7

xAI is also making moves, releasing Grok 2.5 and promising Grok 3

https://deepnewz.com/ai-modeling/xai-to-launch-standalone-grok-grok-com-grok-2-5-most-intelligent-model-new-logo-d0cbc0df

Grok 3 probably won't ship by March but xAI is known to release things when ready

Probably still a battle between Google and OpenAI tho.

Resolution will be midnight US Eastern Time. Once we hit March 1st in New York... the market will be resolved.

NOTE -- we will respect the confidence intervals hence if two orgs tie for first... we will do partial resolution as in previous markets -- in the screenshot above Google and OpenAI are tied for first