How many launches will SpaceX successfully send to orbit in 2024?
SpaceSpacexRockets
Basic
17
Ṁ2.8k
Dec 31
1.8%
<120
3%
120–129
12%
130–139
51%
140–149
28%
150–159
4%
≥160

Counts Falcon 9, Falcon Heavy, and Starship launches equally. Only full orbit or earth escape trajectory counts, with perigee >150km or apogee >1000km.

Get Ṁ600 play money

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bought Ṁ25 150–159 YES

tfw you have 10 days with no SpaceX launches

@Mqrius

bought Ṁ100 <120 NO

Above tweet counts launches, not launches to orbit, so it's currently off by one compared to this market.

bought Ṁ50 120–129 NO

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