I am preparing for a match of Pokemon in the Gen 9 National Dex Monotype format. More details can be found in my other market here (note that, unlike the linked market, this market has nothing to do with AI; I'm just looking to evaluate the teams). To this end, I am looking for challengers to pilot the opposing team.
Resolves YES if a challenger beats me in a Bo5 match.
Otherwise, resolves NO at market close time.
Format and rules shamelessly stolen from here:
"Any Manifold user may challenge me to a match. Any given user may make one attempt if they hold 2000 YES shares in this market. The requirement doubles for every attempt after. So they need to hold 2000 shares before making their first attempt, 6000 total shares if they want to make a second attempt, 14000 shares if they want to make a third [attempt], etc. When you are placing a bet, your 'Max payout' is how many shares you are buying.
"[I am] obligated to accept any challenge from someone with enough shares. Also, [I] must be willing to buy NO shares at [80]% if [I] have the mana to spare to allow challengers to take their shot."
Challengers must use this exact team. I will use this exact team. I will coordinate with challengers (either through Manifold or Discord messages) to find a time that is acceptable to both parties. Games will be played through Pokemon Showdown.
Update 2025-02-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Update from creator
The match format is now Best-of-5 (Bo5) instead of a Best-of-3.
Future challenges will be played under this Bo5 format to ensure more meaningful matches.
If you wish to exit your current position due to this change, contact the creator.
1,000Given the lack of engagement, I’m going to take the opportunity to change the Bo3 to a Bo5, just so that any future challenges are more meaningful.
@MingCat if anyone else bets before you see this and you want out of your position for some reason based on this change, just message me and I’ll cover any resulting loss.
@NBAP Did ~6 games of this with a friend, confirmed my suspicions haha, if you have practice with the team you really can't lose. Lost my first game playing fire and then fire never lost again, we swapped teams after the 4th game. Fire has about 5 ways to sweep, Rock doesn't really have any. Fire pretty much only has to watch out for Kleavor and Arcanine and it has plenty of mons it can flexibly sack to play around those, or switch into Tauros for the intimidate and then set up. If Tyrannitar had EQ or any of the mons had any setup or Cradily was something more useful it'd be different!
@NBAP Fire should mostly play reactively to rock to be wary of its only real threats, but leading with Torkoal is good because getting rocks up helps a bit, removes Glimmora's sash (meaning Heatran can OHKO) and does good chip damage to Kleavor which your opponent will need to switch out a lot because of scarf. You should feel pretty OK about sacking Volcarona or Charizard - they both can be powerful but keeping Cinderace, Heatran, and Tauros as healthy as possible is always more important - you don't want to switch any of those in on a move if you can avoid it.
@MingCat Thanks for the analysis! Well, I'll let you bet it down if you feel like it's unlikely to happen.
@MingCat If you ever want to revisit this, I’ll drop a potentially important hint here:
When my friend pilots the team, he almost exclusively leads Glimmora. Knowing that this fact was unlikely to change, I designed my Volcarona set specifically to act as a counter-lead. The Volcarona was designed to deal with a much less specially bulky Tyranitar than my friend wound up submitting. Based on my preliminary testing, this dynamic between Glimmora and Volcarona on the one hand and Volcarona and Tyranitar on the other hand may be pretty crucial to the matchup.