When will Republicans next win a 3/5ths supermajority in the US Senate
Basic
3
Ṁ1332037
5%
2024
6%
2026
6%
2028
6%
2030
6%
2032
6%
2034
57%
2036, or later or never
6%
This market resolves to the year that Republicans win at least 3/5ths of the seats in the US Senate. For the purposes of this market, senators who caucus with Republicans count as Republicans. Therefore, this market will not resolve until it is clear which senators are caucusing with which party.
The other category contains all non-election years in case the appointment or special election of a senator tips the balance.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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