Will I stop being a such a dumb bitch in 2024?
➕
Plus
88
Ṁ5792
Jan 1
55%
chance

Resolves YES if my calibration is a B or higher on Dec. 31, 2024. Resolves NO if my calibration is a B- or lower on Dec. 31, 2024.

I will only buy yes shares and I will not sell them.

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Ṁ1,000
and
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Calibration is removed now. N/A I guess?

Resolving “yes” would be a dumb bitch thing to do. So this is impossible to win.

Hmm, I definitely agree with the first sentence, but the second deserves clarification! ❤

There is no doubt that I will still be a dumb bitch at the end of this year! BUT, this market isn't about whether I will stop being a dumb bitch, but whether I will "stop being a [sic] such a dumb bitch in 2024." So I contend that I could resolve this market YES without contradiction, because I specify precisely the margin I must stop being such a dumb bitch along, provided my calibration score which is found here increases to a B or better.

Yeah, I didn’t read the description. I bought because the title was funny.

Not a great plan for improving my calibration. But reading is for nerds

you're doing great. to do better, go to every Jimmy Carter market and bet that he won't die

I got a market where people compile free money markets:
/Bayesian/free-mana-will-20-free-profit-oppor

I'm sure many people around you appreciate you for the dumb bitch you are and aspire to be a dumb bitch like you one day. ❤

bought Ṁ50 NO

You will not stop because you are not dumb

I think this is way overvalued right now: I have the majority of my manifold net worth staked on Contrapoints having a video coming out in the next 6 hours. If that doesn't take my calibration, I don't know what will.

Update: My calibration grade has shockingly risen from a C+ to a B for reasons I do not fully comprehend. However, I am still pretty dumb, so my calibration grade may still fall!

I believe in you!

You could probably easily accomplish this by only betting easy self resolving markets. Bit boring though.

predicts YES

@Toby96 I’m too dumb and akratic to do that very smart thing!

I've been dumb my whole life; hard to change that but good luck!

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