Will the US recognize another genocide before 2029?
Plus
13
Ṁ5202028
67%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves YES if the US State Department or White House calls an event a genocide in an official, public communication before 2029. This market resolves NO if that does not happen. Recognition by congresspeople or judges do not qualify. The genocide does not need to be a new genocide, only newly recognized.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
The US has recognized eight genocides previously: in Bosnia, Rwanda, Iraq, Darfur, areas under ISIL control, China, Armenia, and Myanmar.
Related questions
Related questions
Will the Israeli Hamas conflict be described as a genocide in 10 years(2034)
43% chance
Will any explicitly leftist, pro-Palastine US organization or individual kill a Jewish person in the US before 2025?
25% chance
Will a US president order the assassination of any of the following, and get away without criminal charges before 2029?
Will another US president be killed before 2060?
38% chance
Will the US recognize Somaliland before 2028?
77% chance
Will the US officially recognize the sovereignty of the State of Palestine by 2030?
29% chance
What countries will the US be at war with in 2029?
Will the WHO declare another pandemic before 2030?
46% chance
Will a war resulting in over one million fatalities within one year occur before 2035?
35% chance
Will the United States recognize a state of Palestine before the end of 2028?
20% chance