Will the US recognize another genocide before 2029?
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Plus
13
Ṁ520
2028
67%
chance

This market resolves YES if the US State Department or White House calls an event a genocide in an official, public communication before 2029. This market resolves NO if that does not happen. Recognition by congresspeople or judges do not qualify. The genocide does not need to be a new genocide, only newly recognized.

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The US has recognized eight genocides previously: in Bosnia, Rwanda, Iraq, Darfur, areas under ISIL control, China, Armenia, and Myanmar.

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