Will someone be killed by a Cruise or Waymo taxi by 2025?
Plus
22
Ṁ983Jan 1
17%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Must be a self-driving taxi "in production". Must be due to an accident, not any criminal sabotage. The accident must be the fault of the robotaxi. If this is disputed by the company, I will automatically resolve based on a legal finding or admission of fault (a comparative negligence finding can result in a % resolution), but in case this doesn't resolve the issue and it is still ambiguous, I will resolve to a % of culpability for the accident I feel is attributable to the robotaxi, (provided no other accidents occur).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will at least 10 world cities have a generally available self-driving taxi service by 2025?
72% chance
Will any Waymo driverless vehicle be involved in a serious accident in 2024?
36% chance
Will Cruise relaunch driverless taxis by Dec 31 2024?
27% chance
Will Waymo give public driverless rides on any SF freeways by the end of 2024? [description]
50% chance
Will Tesla serve more fully autonomous rides in 2025 than Waymo?
17% chance
Will a driverless Waymo be involved in a significant freeway crash (regardless of fault) in 2024 [description]
23% chance
Will a Waymo be reported be robbed in 2024?
27% chance
Will Cruise's driverless robotaxi service/technology be sold or abandoned by the end of 2025
36% chance
Will Waymo give public rides to/from SFO airport terminals (driverless or not) by the end of 2024?
17% chance
Will Cruise's driverless robotaxi service/technology be sold or abandoned by the end of 2024
11% chance