Will a sex scandal negatively affect the reputation of AI xrisk in the next five years? | Manifold

Will a sex scandal negatively affect the reputation of AI xrisk in the next five years?

Plus

55

Ṁ2721

2028

69%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

I'm specifically asking about a prominent AI researcher (or someone similar) engaging in some problematic sexual activity. Must be publicized in a major news outlet. Resolves subjectively, though I'll avoid betting in the market myself.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

sold Ṁ198 NO

https://x.com/soniajoseph_/status/1791604177581310234?s=46

@Khazar_Man_From_Turan

bought Ṁ30 YES

"AGI sex cult" is going to appear in the news at some point 😅

Would this have counted?

https://time.com/6252617/effective-altruism-sexual-harassment/

@RobertCousineau No, doesn’t bring up AI xrisk at all

Related questions

Will xAI AI be a Major AI Lab by 2025?

In 2050, will the general consensus among experts be that the concern over AI risk in the 2020s was justified?

+3% 1d75% chance

Will AI xrisk seem to be handled seriously by the end of 2026?

Will OpenAI be involved in a major scandal before 2025?

Will AI lead to an S-risk by 2100?

If someone commits anti-AI-xrisk terrorism, will AI xrisk worries be generally marginalized afterwards?

By end of 2028, will AI be considered a bigger x risk than climate change by the general US population?

Will there be another EA reputational crisis before 2028?

Multi year market: Will AI be as big a political issue as abortion?

Will there be a fraud/criminal scandal that harms EA reputation as much as the FTX crash harmed EA reputation, before 2030?

Related questions

Will xAI AI be a Major AI Lab by 2025?

If someone commits anti-AI-xrisk terrorism, will AI xrisk worries be generally marginalized afterwards?

In 2050, will the general consensus among experts be that the concern over AI risk in the 2020s was justified?

By end of 2028, will AI be considered a bigger x risk than climate change by the general US population?

Will AI xrisk seem to be handled seriously by the end of 2026?

Will there be another EA reputational crisis before 2028?

Will OpenAI be involved in a major scandal before 2025?

Multi year market: Will AI be as big a political issue as abortion?

Will AI lead to an S-risk by 2100?

Will there be a fraud/criminal scandal that harms EA reputation as much as the FTX crash harmed EA reputation, before 2030?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules