How much will Rethink Priorities raise by the end of 2023?
4
330Ṁ907
Jan 1
8.9m
expected

Rethink Priorities just released an excellent mid-year report with its progress across hiring, output, and fundraising.

How much will they actually receive?

Close date updated to 2024-01-01 7:59 am

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Useful base rate data:

Total raised in 2020 - $2,165,350

Total raised in 2021 - $5,617,296

Total raised in 2022 - $11,552,849

@PeterWildeford Wait is 12mn too low?

@NathanpmYoung For the upper bound?

predictedHIGHER

@NathanpmYoung Hopefully yes! :D Though personally my median expectation is that we will raise less in 2023 than we raised in 2022 for a variety of obvious unfortunate reasons.

predictedHIGHER

@NathanpmYoung also I should ask how would you want to treat contracting and other revenue that isn't a traditional donation/gift? The numbers I mention above include that.

@PeterWildeford Feel's like this should be the top-line number.

@NathanpmYoung New market https://manifold.markets/NathanpmYoung/how-much-will-rethink-priorities-ra-cc3d38b07c77

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9.1m
What percentage of the reports/papers Rethink Priorities produces in 2024 will get published in peer-reviewed journals?
19% chance
Will Michael Retchin raise more than $5 million by EOY 2025?
50% chance
What will Rewind.ai's valuation be at the end of 2025
940m
Will Replit be valued at $20B or greater by the end of 2025?
25% chance
Will a company by @barak raise 2mil before the end of 2025?
25% chance
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Will Manifold raise another $500K USD in 2025?
10% chance
Will the LEV Foundation spend at least 30 million USD in 2025?
27% chance
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