If RFK Jr. runs as an independent, who will it hurt more [resolves to manifold poll]
Plus
13
Ṁ486Dec 31
35%
Hurt Dems
51%
Hurt GOP
5%
Unclear
1.6%
Bad Question
3%
Didn't declare as independent
5%
RFK wins
A couple of weeks after election. The poll:
Has RFK
Hurt Dems
Hurt GOP
Unclear
Bad question
Didn't declare as interdependent
RFK wins
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Made a market with clearer criteria:
https://manifold.markets/SemioticRivalry/will-the-independent-run-of-robert
Related questions
Related questions
What percentage (%) of the pop. vote will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) receive during the 2024 presidential election?
3% chance
Will RFK Jr. get above 5% in the 2024 Presidential election?
1% chance
Will Kennedy’s independent run hurt Biden or Trump more?
RFK jr will take more votes from Biden than from Trump
29% chance
Will RFK Jr. get any electoral college votes?
2% chance
Will RFK Jr. be on the ticket in 2028?
27% chance
Which *new* independent candidate wins the US presidency? Resolves N/A if party candidate or RFK JR etc wins.
Will RFK Jr win more than 3% of the vote in any state in the 2024 Presidential Election?
5% chance
What will RFK's vote share be in the 2024 election?
How many states will RFK Jr. win in 2024?