OpenAI CEO doesn't think existential risk from AI is a serious concern in Jan 2026
Basic
3
Ṁ352026
28%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
In a year, will we think that Sam Altman leaving OpenAI reduced AI risk?
18% chance
Which famous people will name AI as an existential threat before 2026? [Mega Independent]
By 2028, will I believe that contemporary AIs are aligned (posing no existential risk)?
33% chance
In 2050, will the general consensus among experts be that the concern over AI risk in the 2020s was justified?
72% chance
Is the nature of AI risk completely misunderstood today with respect to the state of the art in 2030?
41% chance
Will AI xrisk seem to be handled seriously by the end of 2026?
26% chance
Will Trump repeatedly raise concerns about existential risk from AI before the end of 2025?
16% chance
Will there be serious AI safety drama at Meta AI before 2026?
60% chance
Will a major AI company acknowledge the possibility of conscious AIs by 2026?
81% chance
ML researchers’ median probability of existential risk from AI
23