Will there be more than 100 deaths in a single protest or set of protests in China before 2025?
Basic
8
Ṁ309Jan 30
10%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
A set of protests must be connected in the same topic. eg a nationwide protest with marches in many cities, not more than two weeks apart.
Intended to spot massive unrest not some strange technicality. (eg a set of protests a year long where a person dies every 3 days)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will the existing China government collapse by 2025?
4% chance
Will there be an AI rights protest in the US with more than 1000 protesters before 2026?
30% chance
Will the 2024 college protests result in any fatalities?
22% chance
Will there be a major spike in protests in the US in 2025 (comparable to the 2020 George Floyd protests)?
55% chance
Will there be an AI rights protest in the US with more than 1000 protesters before 2025?
16% chance
Will there be an anti-Trump protest march with at least 1m reported total participants in the US before 1st June 2025?
25% chance
Will there be more than 50 deaths in political, or military conflicts in Belarus, before 2025?
18% chance
Will someone die as the direct consequence of a Letzte Generation protest by 2025?
12% chance
Will the tiananmen square deaths still be censored in China by 2045?
67% chance
Will at least 2 people die in protests in response to Trump's arrest before 2025?
12% chance