Will there be more than 100 deaths in a single protest or set of protests in China before 2025?
Mini
8
Ṁ3092025
10%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
A set of protests must be connected in the same topic. eg a nationwide protest with marches in many cities, not more than two weeks apart.
Intended to spot massive unrest not some strange technicality. (eg a set of protests a year long where a person dies every 3 days)
Get Ṁ600 play money
More related questions
Related questions
Will someone die as the direct consequence of a Letzte Generation protest by 2025?
25% chance
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2027?
20% chance
Will there be an AI rights protest in the US with more than 1000 protesters before 2026?
33% chance
Will there be more than 50 deaths in political, or military conflicts in Belarus, before 2025?
30% chance
Will there be an AI rights protest in the US with more than 1000 protesters before 2025?
21% chance
Will the 2024 college protests result in any fatalities?
22% chance
Will the tiananmen square deaths still be censored in China by 2045?
67% chance
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2025?
19% chance
Will there be 5000 people cryopreserved in China before October 2028?
23% chance
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2026?
25% chance