Will the tiananmen square deaths still be censored in China by 2045?
Basic
3
Ṁ452045
67%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Can you define ‘Tiananmen Square deaths’ and ‘censored’?
For the deaths, it’s generally accepted that weren’t any in the square itself, but rather they occurred around the square.
For ‘censored’, will any view have to be able to be expressed in any forum? Does algorithmic suppression count? What if it’s allowed in the context of history, but not if it’s a political invective?
Related questions
Related questions
Will China become more authoritarian in 2024?
70% chance
Will China still be controlled by the CCP in 2050?
39% chance
Will China have true democracy in 2050?
35% chance
Will China be a democracy in 2050?
23% chance
Will Xi Jinping be murdered, deposed, or forced to abdicate like many other Chinese leaders by the end of 2030?
50% chance
Will China have true democracy in 2040?
15% chance
Will a major non-documentary film that is critical of China be released in the US before 2030?
70% chance
Will China have true democracy in 2100?
53% chance
Will China conduct a missile or air strike on territory controlled by Taiwan resulting in at least 5 deaths by EOY 2024?
3% chance
Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before 2030?
44% chance