Will Xi Jinping be murdered, deposed, or forced to abdicate like many other Chinese leaders by the end of 2030?
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https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Succession_of_power_in_China
https://asiasociety.org/policy-institute/xi-jinpings-succession-dilemma
Elite rebellion is not impossible. Research conducted by Milan Svolik shows that two-thirds of deposed authoritarians fall to inside challengers. Yuhua Wang finds that almost 60% of Chinese emperors who did not exit office by natural death were murdered, deposed, forced to abdicate, or forced to commit suicide by regime elites. A conceivable trigger for Xi would be an economic depression or military misadventure, or if he began purging his closest allies.
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