Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2026?
Plus
29
Ṁ19622027
16%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
For the purposes of this question, Xi Jinping's leadership of China includes both formal titles (President, General Secretary, Chairman of the Central Military Commission) as well as his de facto leadership.
If Xi ceases to hold all of his formal titles, but comes up with a new one and is still widely recognized as holding de facto power, this would not count as ceasing to be China's leader.
If Xi becomes ill and arguably "de facto" power is held for a short period by someone else, but Xi keeps any of titles during this period, this would not count as ceasing to be China's leader.
See also:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Xi Jinping continue to lead China through end of 2028?
70% chance
Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2028?
29% chance
Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before 2030?
44% chance
Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2024?
5% chance
Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2027?
22% chance
Will Xi Jinping be the leader of China at the end of 2026?
80% chance
Will Xi Jinping be the leader of China at the end of 2028?
60% chance
Will Xi Jinping remain leader of China for the rest of his life?
36% chance
Will Xi Jinping remain the President of China by the end of 2030?
62% chance
Will Xi Jinping be the leader of China at the end of 2029?
66% chance