Will Pluto be reclassified as a planet before 2050?
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Ṁ899
2050
13%
chance

According to the IAU.

I’ve been convinced that this should happen after learning that Jupiter hasn’t cleared its orbit and therefore doesn’t actually meet the criteria to be a planet!

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What if they revoke the phrase "planets and dwarf planets are two distinct classes of objects" such that all dwarf planets are also planets?

Imo the wikipedia page on the issue is really good and I recommend it to those interested: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Clearing_the_neighbourhood

bought Ṁ10 NO

They will just change the definition such that Jupiter is a planet and Pluto isn't.

Also, I don't think Lagrange point objects are intended to count, if that's what you mean. More likely, the definition will get cleaned up to explicitly exclude them.

bought Ṁ10 NO

It can only get reclassified along with Eris (which hadn't been known pre-2003) - and probably Ceres, Haumea and Makemake, too. We will never have 9 planets again (although, of course, all the five reclassifying would still be a YES).

opened a Ṁ1 NO at 47% order

scientists are dumb and they hate pluto

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