Will Proud Boys, Three Percenters, or members of similar far-right groups kill at least 10 people in the US in 2025?
Plus
8
Ṁ3152026
37%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES iff major media sources report, during calendar year 2025, at least 10 people killed in the US where the killers are active members of groups similar to the Proud Boys or Three Percenters.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@TheAllMemeingEye Atomwaffen, Identity Evropa etc definitely count. Otherwise similarity is a judgement call. I don't know how many they killed in prior years.
Related questions
Related questions
Will any explicitly leftist, pro-Palastine US organization or individual kill a Jewish person in the US before 2025?
10% chance
How many Americans will die due to political violence in 2024?
Will a single shooting incident kill at least 20 people in the US during 2025?
41% chance
Will a single shooting incident kill at least 20 people in the US during 2024?
6% chance
Will there be a mass shooting with more than 20 fatalities in the US in 2024?
4% chance
Will the 2024 college protests result in any fatalities?
22% chance
How many Americans will be killed in post-election civil unrest before January 21st, 2025?
At least 1 person killed during students protests in American universities during 2024?
8% chance
Will there be evidence linking the first Trump shooter to Nick Fuentes or the Groyper movement by the end of 2024?
7% chance
Between Oct 1 2024 and Apr 1 2025, will US-election-related violence kill at least 100 Americans?
13% chance