Will Humans go extinct by 2200?
Standard
28
Ṁ1846
2200
59%
chance
Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S1.00
Sort by:

So this question has a higher prob than the one dated 2400. So much for rational markets. In reality all these questions are daft because they can never be resolved Yes

I feel like markets like this have no incentive to bet yes—If we all die, then nobody is going to be around to resolve the market yes lol